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Sector Rotation Analysis of the Stock Market Cycle
Sector Rotation  >  Sector Rotation Analysis

Analysis of the Stock Market Cycle

Sector Rotation Analysis of the Stock Market Cycle

In the context of sector rotation analysis the stock market cycle can be broken down into 4 key stages we can observe.  Within each stage of the stock market cycle the economy is experiencing different rates of production growth, consumer expectations, interest rates, and yield curve shapes.

By analyzing these economic indicators and grouping them by what we expect to see in each business cycle, stage we can use them as clues to identify what stage of the economic cycle we are facing, and more importantly which sectors we should invest in now.


4 Basic Stages to the Stock Market Cycle

There are four basic stages to a regular stock market cycle, and within each stage of the cycle we have different levels and changes in industrial production, consumer confidence, interest rates, and Gross Domestic Production.  Learning how to identify each stages of the stock market cycle is critical to practicing sector rotation analysis.  Let's explore each stage of the stock market cycle now.

Market Bottom Stage

Sector Rotation Analysis of Market BottomClick the chart for a larger image of this stage of the stock market cycle.  In this stage the stock market is forming a bottom.   Clear economic signals are evident to follow on a fundamental basis at this market cycle stage.  Position your portfolio by following these Sector Rotation Strategies During a Market Bottom Stage.


Bull Market Stage

Sector Rotation Analysis - where to invest in a bull marketClick the chart for a larger image of this stage of the stock market cycle.  In this stage the stock market is forming a bull market.   Clear economic signals are evident to follow on a fundamental basis at this market cycle stage.  Position your portfolio by following these Sector Rotation Strategies During a Bull Market Stage.


Market Top Stage

Sector Rotation Analysis - where to invest during market topsClick the chart for a larger image of this stage of the stock market cycle.  In this stage the stock market is nearing a top.   Clear economic signals are evident to follow on a fundamental basis at this market cycle stage.  Position your portfolio by following these Sector Rotation Strategies During a Market Top Stage.


Bear Market Stage

Sector Rotation Analysis - where to invest in a Bear MarketClick the chart for a larger image of this stage of the stock market cycle.  In this stage the stock market overall is declining.   Clear economic signals are evident to follow on a fundamental basis at this market cycle stage.  Position your portfolio by following these Sector Rotation Strategies During a Bear Market Stage.



Next up:  The 11 Stock Sectors

 

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